Skills prediction-trade-journal

Auto-log trades with context, track outcomes, generate calibration reports to improve trading.

install

source · Clone the upstream repo

git clone https://github.com/openclaw/skills

Claude Code · Install into ~/.claude/skills/

T=$(mktemp -d) && git clone --depth=1 https://github.com/openclaw/skills "$T" && mkdir -p ~/.claude/skills && cp -r "$T/skills/adlai88/prediction-trade-journal" ~/.claude/skills/clawdbot-skills-prediction-trade-journal && rm -rf "$T"

manifest: skills/adlai88/prediction-trade-journal/SKILL.md

source content

Prediction Trade Journal

Track every trade, learn from outcomes, improve your edge.

When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when the user wants to:

See their trade history
Track win rate and P&L
Generate trading reports
Analyze which strategies work best

Setup Flow

When user asks to install or configure this skill:

Install the Simmer SDK

pip install simmer-sdk

Ask for Simmer API key
- They can get it from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab
- Store in environment as
```
SIMMER_API_KEY
```

Quick Commands

# Sync trades from API
python tradejournal.py --sync

# Show recent trades
python tradejournal.py --history 10

# Generate weekly report
python tradejournal.py --report weekly

# Export to CSV
python tradejournal.py --export trades.csv

API Reference:

Base URL:
```
https://api.simmer.markets
```
Auth:
```
Authorization: Bearer $SIMMER_API_KEY
```
Trades:
```
GET /api/sdk/trades
```

How It Works

Sync - Polls
```
/api/sdk/trades
```
to fetch trade history
Store - Saves trades locally with outcome tracking
Track - Updates outcomes when markets resolve
Report - Generates win rate, P&L, and calibration analysis

CLI Reference

Command	Description
`--sync`	Fetch new trades from API
`--history N`	Show last N trades (default: 10)
`--sync-outcomes`	Update resolved markets
`--report daily/weekly/monthly`	Generate summary report
`--config`	Show configuration
`--export FILE.csv`	Export to CSV
`--dry-run`	Preview without making changes

Configuration

Setting	Environment Variable	Default
API Key	`SIMMER_API_KEY`	(required)

Storage

Trades are stored locally in

data/trades.json

{
  "trades": [{
    "id": "uuid",
    "market_question": "Will X happen?",
    "side": "yes",
    "shares": 10.5,
    "cost": 6.83,
    "outcome": {
      "resolved": false,
      "winning_side": null,
      "pnl_usd": null
    }
  }],
  "metadata": {
    "last_sync": "2025-01-29T...",
    "total_trades": 50
  }
}

Skill Integration

Other skills can enrich trades with context:

from tradejournal import log_trade

# After executing a trade
log_trade(
    trade_id=result['trade_id'],
    source="copytrading",
    thesis="Mirroring whale 0x123...",
    confidence=0.70
)

This adds thesis, confidence, and source to the trade record for better analysis.

Example Report

📓 Weekly Report
========================================
Period: Last 7 days
Trades: 15
Total cost: $125.50
Resolved: 8 / 15
Win rate: 62.5%
P&L: +$18.30

By side: 10 YES, 5 NO

Troubleshooting

"SIMMER_API_KEY environment variable not set"

Set your API key:
```
export SIMMER_API_KEY=sk_live_...
```

"No trades recorded yet"

Run
```
python tradejournal.py --sync
```
to fetch trades from API

Trades not showing outcomes

Run
```
python tradejournal.py --sync-outcomes
```
to update resolved markets